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Friday, January 24, 2003 The Thinking Fan: Raiders ... and why you can take it to the bank Every year at this time, I offer my unique, completely objective, method of predicting the winner of the Super Bowl. I consider this a scientific exercise, devoid of subjective judgments or elaborate research. It is based on existing records and free of interest or preference for either team. I make it available to those foolhardy souls who decide to make a financial investment in the outcome, despite the recent evidence that investing can be hazardous. However, having seen how wrong stock analysts, advisors, experts and academic economists have been in recent years using their sophisticated and presumably erudite inside knowledge, my mechanical approach can be -- I guarantee it -- every bit as unreliable as theirs. My nine items of comparison draw on geography, population, the alphabet and age (in years), all indisputably unambiguous and measurable data unadulterated by emotion, hunch or secret information. Ready? The contestants are the Oakland Raiders and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
So far, we have six indicators that say Oakland, one that says Tampa Bay, one indeterminate (the 18-18 conference affiliations) and one that we still have to deal with -- the different kinds of humans. No matter how it comes out, Oakland will be ahead, 6-2 or 7-1. For the record, here's how humans vs. humans breaks down. Some arbitrary classifications are necessary for the sake of simplicity. The Jets are considered humans, as in the Jets and Sharks of "West Side Story;" the Chargers, as in credit-card users; and the Bills are named for Buffalo Bill, notably a human. If the Jets, Chargers and Bills are considered inanimate objects, they mess up my system. "Animals" includes fish and birds. They've met only once, when the Broncos beat the Falcons four years ago. Humans can be classified by occupation (Steelers, Cowboys, 49ers, Packers) and by some sort of "warrior" class. Those include Raiders, Vikings, Redskins and Chiefs (the last two referring to Native American warriors). Others simply are miscellaneous. The Raiders and Buccaneers (pirates) are "warriors" facing each other for only the fourth time. The Chiefs beat the Vikings (IV), the Raiders beat the Vikings (XI) and the Raiders beat the Redskins (XVIII). So score this one for Oakland, making the final tally 7-1. Last year it was 6-3 for the Rams, who lost to the Patriots. The year before is was 5-4 for the Giants, who lost to the Ravens. You have been warned. Good luck. Hall of Fame writer Leonard Koppett writes a weekly column for the P-I. Contact him at sports@seattlepi.com |
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